Chicago @ Miami
Chicago +125 over Miami

Pinnacle +125 BET365 +125 Sportsinteraction +125 888Sport +125

Posted at 12:00 PM EST. Odds subject to change.

Chicago +125 over Miami

1:40 PM EST. Although not set in stone, it appears as though Edward Cabrera (RHP - MIA) will come off the DL to make this start for the Marlins. Dude hasn’t p[itched since May and while he’s good, we doubt he’ll be in there long, as the Fish bring him back slowly. Cabrera went 7-7 with 4.24 ERA in 100 IP at Miami last year. This popular breakout play couldn't find the plate. A demotion and a month-long shoulder IL stint could have contributed, and his xBB% suggests control wasn't quite this bad. Starting pitchers with big potential are a big time investment and are therefore babied. Cabrera is very unlikely to go past three innings, which opens the door for us to grab a win at a very decent price. 

Jonthan’s Cannon’s (RHP - CHW) stock is way down after giving up four jacks in his past two starts not to mention a bunch of runs. It looks a lot worse on paper than it actually was (one start against Detroit he was hammered for 8 runs in one inning). An unlucky .348 BABIP has Cannon with 4.89 ERA (3.41 xERA). In his four June starts prior to that one, he posted a 0.90 ERA, 0.80 WHIP, and 9.9 K/9. A 93-mph sinker (62% grounders) and four secondaries whose swinging-strike rates range from 13% to 17% has batters off balance all game. Cannon spent 2023 split between High- and Double-A and continues to throw a ton of strikes with heavy, sink-oriented stuff. He mixes four- and two-seamers at mostly 94-95 mph, and can climb the ladder when he wants. Aside from his rarely used changeup, all of Cannon’s secondary pitches have glove-side movement. His mix is super tough on righties and he should find this park favorable and this opponent very beatable.

Sherwood

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Arizona     -150

Detroit      +125

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Arizona       -145

Detroit    +134

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Our Pick

Chicago +125 (Risking 2 units - To Win: 2.50)

Cincinnati -1½ +114 over Miami
Washington +130 over Milwaukee