Tampa Bay @ Texas
Texas -1½ +160 over Tampa Bay

Pinnacle -1½ +163 BET365 -1½ +160 Sportsinteraction -1½ +160 888Sport -1½ +160

Posted at 12:00 PM EST. Odds subject to change.

Texas -1½ +155 over Tampa Bay

Zack Littell (RHP - TB) transitioned to a starter in mid-season a year ago and once the kid gloves came off, he posted a 3.38 ERA in last 11 starts. This year he has a 3.94 (4.24 xERA) after 17 starts, thus now is the time to fade. There are a few reasons to be wary of fully buying in. First his IP history questions full workload and therefore fatigue is inevitable. His K% is underwhelming and his microscopic BB% will be tough to maintain. Dude is about to get hit hard. 

Nathan Eovaldi (RHP - TEX) featured some of the best command sub-indicators in the game during June (12.2% swinging strike, 66% first-pitch strikes, 29% Ball%). Those marks suggested his 18% K-BB% should have been even higher. A 21% hr/f was the reason for his 4.40 ERA. There's some profit potential here now if you can get him at a discount and we trust we’re getting him at a big discount here.

Sherwood

Pinnacle takes some of the lowest fees on all users’ bets, meaning it’s able to offer some of the best value odds on the market. Compared to other major, well-known sportsbooks, Pinnacle offers superior average odds pricing. Pinnacle’s low betting margins and high betting limits is the best in the biz and will save you thousands of dollars over your betting life.

For instance, a baseball game at most sportsbooks has 20 to 25 cent margins

Arizona     -150

Detroit      +125

That’s a 25 cent margin but at Pinnacle, it’ll be an 9 cent margin (see example)

Arizona       -145

Detroit    +134

If you bet on sports daily, Pinnacle is a must have because of their low margins.

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Our Pick

Texas -1½ +160 (Risking 2 units - To Win: 3.20)

Cincinnati -1½ +114 over Miami
Washington +130 over Milwaukee