Tampa Bay @ Kansas City
Tampa Bay -102 over Kansas City

Pinnacle -102 BET365 -110 Sportsinteraction -110 888Sport -110

Posted at 3:00 PM EST. Odds subject to change.

Tampa Bay over Kansas City

8:10 PM EST. Ryan Pepiot (RHP - TB) is coming off a great start where he allowed one earned run over 5.1 innings pitched with eight strikeouts. The 26-year-old righty generated 15 swinging strikes, including nine on his four-seamer, and he finished with a serviceable 29 percent called and swinging strike (CSW) rate. All told, Pepiot has been great this season with a 3.50 SIERA and 20.1% K-BB. Pepiot takes on a Royals team that is striking out 20.8% of the time versus RHP over the past month while hitting .229.

Then there is Michael Wacha (RHP - KC), who allowed one run in 5.1 IP and got a no-decision in the Royals’ 2-1 victory over the Guardians last Thursday. While that line looks pretty good on paper, Wacha gave up seven hits and walked two in his second start since returning from the injured list. Wacha has been fine enough thus far, but it’s telling that he and the Royals are a toss-up here against an underachieving Rays side. Tampa is a team that is on our radar, as they are more talented than their 43-42 record would suggest, and a correction to the good could be coming. We’ll test that hypothesis here.

Sherwood

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Arizona     -150

Detroit      +125

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Arizona       -145

Detroit    +134

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Our Pick

Tampa Bay -102 (Risking 2.04 units - To Win: 2.00)

Cincinnati -1½ +114 over Miami
Washington +130 over Milwaukee