Houston @ Toronto
Houston -104 over Toronto

Pinnacle  -104 BET365  -110 Sportsinteraction  -110 888Sport  -110

Posted at 1:30 PM EST. Odds subject to change.

Houston over Toronto

7:07 PM EST. Spencer Arrighetti (RHP - HOU) picked up the win last Wednesday in one of the best starts of his career. In that turn, Arrighetti posted a career-high 10 strikeouts while also inducing an incredible 35 called and swinging strikes on his 89 pitches across seven scoreless innings. He also generated 13 swinging strikes and finished with a near-elite 39 percent called and swinging strike rate. Arrighetti has now given up three runs or less in six of his last seven starts, posting 39 Ks to 18 BBs across 32.1 IP during that stretch.

The Blue Jays are banged up, and they continue to look the part of a team in disarray. Both Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (right hand) and infielder Isiah Kiner-Falefa missed yesterday’s loss to the Astros, and while they may play tonight, both will potentially be doing so in pain. As for their starter today, the Jays will go with Jose Berrios (RHP - TOR), who has been struggling after allowing nine runs over 11 IP prior to his start over the Yankees last Thursday. Berrios would win that turn, but he has been wholly mediocre this season, going 7-6 with a pedestrian 6.5 K/9 strikeout rate. While his surface ERA is a respectable 3.38, Berrios’ xERA is a bloated 4.86, and he’s pitching at barely a replacement level with a Wins Above Replacement (WAR) of 0.6. For the record, his WAR was 3.0 last season. Until the Jays show some life, they are worthy of a fade consideration. A 50/50 proposition this is not.

Sherwood

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Arizona     -150

Detroit      +125

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Arizona       -145

Detroit    +134

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Our Pick

Houston -104 (Risking 2.04 units - To Win: 1.96)

Cincinnati -1½ +114 over Miami
Washington +130 over Milwaukee