Chicago @ Detroit
Chicago +171 over Detroit

Pinnacle +171 BET365 +150 Sportsinteraction +155 888Sport +150

Posted at 11:30 AM EST. Odds subject to change.

Chicago over Detroit 

1:40 PM EST. It’s probably the biggest overlay of the day and not because Reese Olson (RHP - Det) is starting for the Tigers. No, it’s because Chicago’s starter is far under the radar, which we’ll get to in a moment.

Reese Olson had been struggling of late but bounced back nicely in his last start by throwing six shutout innings with eight strikeouts versus the Braves. Despite the struggles, Olson has a 3.39 ERA on the season with a 14.2% K-BB. Olson looks to make it two strong starts in a row versus a White Sox team striking out 25.2% of the time versus RHP over the past month. Indeed, Olson and the Tigers have massive appeal because the South Side does not win many games and few are aware of how good Jonathan Cannon (RHP - CHW) is. He’s a future ace that must be played at prices like this.

Cannon was a high-profile 2021 draft prospect who missed a big chunk of that season with mononucleosis and, after a prolonged period of minimal activity to fight it off, wasn’t quite himself when he initially returned. His velocity fell, as did his draft stock, and Cannon went back to school to rebound. It worked. He had a very efficient 2022 season in terms of strike-throwing and ended up becoming Chicago’s third rounder, signing for just shy of a million bucks.

Cannon spent 2023 split between High- and Double-A and continued to throw a ton of strikes with heavy, sink-oriented stuff. He mixes four- and two-seamers at mostly 94-95 mph, and can climb the ladder when he wants. Aside from his rarely used changeup, all of Cannon’s secondary pitches have glove-side movement. His mix is super tough on righties. Even at his size (6’6”) Cannon’s delivery is consistent and repeatable. He’s remade his body almost entirely since early in college and looks more lean and athletic than ever before. He possesses repertoire depth and command.

Cannon has 28 K’s in 32 innings over his five starts. He has walked just six batters so his ratios are very good. Over his last three appearances, Cannon has walked two batters over 18 frames while whiffing 15. In his last start, his groundball rate was an elite 60% and his line drive rate was a miniscule 3% (league average is around 22%). Cannon is gaining more confidence with each passing inning, as he makes a high percentage of hitters look foolish up there. Dude can pitch and he’s only going to get better so buy now when few know just how high his prospect ceiling is.

Sherwood

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Our Pick

Chicago +171 (Risking 2 units - To Win: 3.42)

Cincinnati -1½ +114 over Miami
Washington +130 over Milwaukee