Boston @ Cincinnati
Boston -1½ +143 over Cincinnati

Pinnacle -1½ +143 BET365 -1½ +125 Sportsinteraction -1½ +125 888Sport -1½ +125

Posted at 10:30 AM EST. Odds subject to change.

Boston -1½ over Cincinnati

7:05 PM EST. Andrew Abbott (RHP - CIN) allowed three runs on four hits in five innings in a loss to the Brewers on Saturday. It wasn’t a poor performance for the left-hander, who walked three and struck out three on the day. As is typical, Abbott didn’t get many whiffs, with just six whiffs on 43 swings for a 14 percent whiff rate and 22 percent CSW. However, he also didn’t allow much hard contact, with just an 82.3 mph average exit velocity allowed. He takes a 3.42 ERA into this start tonight, but his xERA is over a run higher at 4.75. Missing bats has been an issue for Abbott all season, as his swing-and-miss rate is a weak 8.2%, and his CSW is just 24.3%. He has just 60 Ks in 79 innings.

While this is a fade of Abbott, Kutter Crawford (RHP - BOS) has bounced back nicely after some rough starts by throwing six innings while allowing three earned runs with nine strikeouts versus the Yankees. He’ll look to make it two in a row as he heads into Great American Ball Park versus a Reds team that is striking out 24.9% of the time versus RHP over the past month. The Red Sox are 40-35, have a +47 run differential, they play in arguably the toughest division in baseball, and now they are playing an underperforming NL side. We are going to attack the Reds by backing the BoSox on the run line.


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Our Pick

Boston -1½ +143 (Risking 2 units - To Win: 2.86)

Cincinnati -1½ +114 over Miami
Washington +130 over Milwaukee