San Francisco @ Chicago
San Francisco -105 over Chicago

Pinnacle -105 BET365 -110 Sportsinteraction -110 888Sport -110

Posted at 2:45 PM EST. Odds subject to change.

San Francisco over Chicago

8:05 PM EST. Look, we’re not going to rag on Justin Steele (LHP - CHC), who is having a fine season after finishing in the top 5 of Cy Young voting in 2023, but should he really be coin flip over the likes of Logan Webb (RHP - SF), even at Wrigley Field? If we were to nitpick, Steele has seen a near 2% drop in his swing-and-miss rate over last season while his K-rate is down and BB-rate is up.

As for Webb, he brings his ground-ball prowess to Wrigley, where he'll see a Chicago Cubs offense that has struggled against such pitchers. The Cubs have gone 3-8 with a .645 OPS in their last 11 games, and they're slugging .299 in a homestand that began last Friday. Webb's strength of schedule of late has been up there (Astros, Rangers, Yankees, Mets, Pirates, Dodgers), and he has still managed a 2.54 ERA (with a 2.51 xERA to back it), 0.95 WHIP since May 15, which covers six starts and 39 IP. Meanwhile, Cubbies batters own a collective .595 OPS against him. A 50/50 proposition, this is not. Go Giants!

Sherwood

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Arizona     -150

Detroit      +125

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Arizona       -145

Detroit    +134

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Our Pick

San Francisco -105 (Risking 2.10 units - To Win: 2.00)

Cincinnati -1½ +114 over Miami
Washington +130 over Milwaukee