N.Y. Mets @ Texas
N.Y. Mets -1½ +150 over Texas

Pinnacle -1½ +149 BET365 -1½ +150 Sportsinteraction -1½ +150 888Sport -1½ +150

Posted at 2:45 PM EST. Odds subject to change.

N.Y. Mets over Texas

8:05 PM EST. After a disappointing start to the season, the Mets are heating up, and they are scoring runs in bunches, including the 14 that they potted on the Rangers last night. That was the third time in the last week the Mets have posted double-digit runs, which covers a six-game span. Tonight, the Mets will go with Luis Severino (RHP - NYM), who allowed one run over six innings in a no-decision versus Miami on Thursday. It was the third time in his past four starts that Severino has given up just one run, and he has a 2.39 ERA and 1.10 WHIP across those turns.

Meanwhile, Michael Lorenzen (RHP - TEX) has been living a charmed life, as his strand rate is high, his Batting Average of Balls in Play (BABIP) is low while his surface ERA is a gorgeous 2.86, his xERA is an inflated 4.71. Over his last 31 days, Lorenzen has posted a bloated 25% hit rate, a 90% strand rate, and an xERA of 4.62. Over his last eight starts, Lorenzen has walked multiple batters seven times, and he has 33 Ks to 20 BBs in 49 IP across those starts.

Sherwood

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Arizona     -150

Detroit      +125

That’s a 25 cent margin but at Pinnacle, it’ll be an 9 cent margin (see example)

Arizona       -145

Detroit    +134

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Our Pick

N.Y. Mets -1½ +150 (Risking 2 units - To Win: 3.00)