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Posted at 1:15 PM EST. Odds subject to change.

Baltimore -1½ over Philadelphia

7:05 PM EST. Kyle Bradish (RHP - BAL) is having a great season, and he is coming off a start where he threw six shutout innings with nine strikeouts. Through seven starts, he has allowed two earned runs or less in six starts with 49 strikeouts over 34.1 innings pitched and a 24.3% K-BB. Bradish will look to continue his success today as he takes on a Phillies team that is striking out 19.3% of the time versus RHP over the past month with a .236 average.

Look, the Phillies are a quality ball club and Ranger Suarez (LHP - PHI) is a quality pitcher, but the Phils are not so great that they are likely to continue winning at a .676 clip, nor is Suarez as good as his 10-1 record and his surface ERA of 1.81 would indicate. As far as “sell high” candidates go, Suarez is near the top of the list, as he is starting to show some cracks after giving up a season-high eight hits versus the Mets in a win last Saturday. We’ll note that the Orioles are a huge step up in competition for Suarez, and they are as solid as they come vs. LHP, ranking sixth in average vs. LHP, first in slugging, and eighth in OBP. The O’s on the run line (-1½) is the true value play here.

Sherwood

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Arizona     -150

Detroit      +125

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Arizona       -145

Detroit    +134

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