Posted at 3:30 PM EST. Odds subject to change.

Pinnacle +136  BET365 +135 Sportsinteraction +135 888Sport +135

Cleveland +135 over Toronto

7:07 PM EST. It’s quite possible that the Blue Jays are mentally drained or on a mental low after losing another series in Baltimore. The Jays took the opener and then dropped the next two with last night’s defeat being especially disheartening. It was a big series and one the Jays were supposed to use to springboard themselves into a late surge. The Jays are still very much alive but we’re going to suggest that they’re more vulnerable today than almost any other time this year. The mood in the room is somber from everything we’ve read, heard or seen. 

Then we have the Guardians, who have dropped four of five but they are coming off a series loss to the Dodgers. There’s no shame in that and they, too, are still very much alive in the quest for a playoff spot. 

Tanner Bibee (RHP - CLE) looked like a budding rotation anchor during July (1.78 ERA, 0.99 WHIP in 30 IP) and for most of August too. Sure, a 25% hit rate and 89% strand rate played their part to boost his stat line but so did his skills: 28% K%, 8% BB%, 19% K-BB% and a 3.73 xERA. His command sub-indicators were even better: 14.9% swing and miss rate, 68% first pitch strikes and 34% Ball%. Dude is very worthy as an underdog in this range.

Chris Bassitt (RHP - TOR) seems to be putting together a solid year during his first season in Toronto but if we dig a bit deeper, it’s not as good as it seems. Bassitt's xERA of 4.52 is below average and it’s the lowest he's had in the past five years. His 13% K-BB% is mediocre. Bassitt has already walked 49 batters. His ERA is well below his xERA. There are several indicators that reflect his skills are not quite as good as the results he's getting so far and the Guardians are the perfect under the radar team to make him pay. Cleveland puts the ball in play (they lead in the AL in least amount of strikeouts) and they figure to get numerous opportunities to score. 

----------------------------------------------------------------------------