Today's Free Picks for
Posted at 1:15 PM EST. Odds subject to change.
Pinnacle -1½ +146 BET365 -1½ +150 Sportsinteraction -1½ +146 888Sport -1½ +145
Milwaukee -1½ +150 over Baltimore
7:40 PM EST. Dean Kremer (RHP - BAL) is among those pitchers whose win-loss record does not reflect their lack of quality. At 6-2, Kremer is smoke and mirrors, as he has a laundry list of cracks in his armor. Kremer's ERA is 4.43, his xERA is 6.38, and his WHIP is an inflated 1.42. There might not be a more overvalued pitcher on the board tonight.
An overvalued underdog presents us with the opportunity to back a true ace as an undervalued favorite. The Brewers will send Corbin Burnes (RHP - MIL) out to the bump for his lucky 13th turn of the season. Burnes has a middling 5-4 record and an ERA of 3.75. However, since giving up 10 runs in his first two starts of the season, Burnes has posted a 2.83 ERA, a tidy 1.09 WHIP, and a 60:23 strike-to-ball ratio in 10 appearances, covering 60.1 innings. The Brew Crew's ace has two straight quality starts, and this one sets up nicely for him to get another tonight, so we'll take Milwaukee on the run line.
Finnie
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Our Pick
Milwaukee -1½ +150 (Risking 2 units - To Win: 3.00)