Philadelphia @ Atlanta
Philadelphia +111 over Atlanta

Posted at 11:30 AM EST. Odds subject to change.

Pinnacle  +111 BET365 +110 Sportsinteraction +109 888Sport +110

Philadelphia +111 over Atlanta

4:10 PM EST. We've faded Charlie Morton (RHP - ATL) time and again this season and see no reason to let up when he is favored, especially against a formidable opponent. Morton is 5-4 with a 3.61 ERA this season, but his xERA is an inflated 4.69. Through his 52.1 innings pitched in 2023, Morton has 54 Ks to 20 BBs, while posting a bloated WHIP of 1.41.

On the other side of this NL East affair, Zack Wheeler (RHP - PHI) will take the mound for the Phillies. Despite a 3-4 record, Wheeler has been better than that record would suggest, posting 64 strikeouts to just 14 walks across 57 innings pitched. Wheeler is coming off a rough outing in Arizona where he allowed three earned runs on eight hits over six innings while surrendering two home runs, which doubled the number of homers he had given up all season. Recent results loom large, which is why we are getting Wheeler at a discount today.

Finally, Wheeler is a native of Atlanta and a former Braves fan, so you don't think he's going to be locked in for this start with his friends and family in the stands? The price and the situation dictate the play here.

Finnie

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Our Pick

Philadelphia +111 (Risking 2 units - To Win: 2.22)

Baltimore -1½ +124 over L.A. Angels
San Francisco +100 over San Diego
Toronto +120 over Tampa Bay
Washington +135 over Cincinnati
San Diego under 83½ -105
Boston under 79½ -110