Detroit @ Cleveland
Cleveland -1½ +113 over Detroit

Posted at 1:30 PM EST. Odds subject to change.

Pinnacle -1½ +113 BET365 -1½ +105 Sportsinteraction -1½ -101 888Sport -1½ +100

Cleveland -1½ +113 over Detroit

6:10 PM EST. Joey Wentz (LHP - DET) parlayed a relatively fringe arsenal into something that looked like a backend Major League starter. Despite a first-round selection back in 2016, Wentz has looked like a backend guy for some time now but has quietly outkicked a bunch of limitations until now. The roof is caving in and nothing in his profile suggests it’s going to get better. Wentz’s swing and miss rate last game was 4%. His BB/W ratio is weak and so is his batted ball profile. Everything has led to an ERA/xERA split of 6.67/5.75. No reason the Guardians shouldn’t feast here.

The Lab is at it again, tossing pitchability dudes in their cauldron and rolling 20 after 20 as they manifest another mid-rotation arm—or more—out of Columbus. Tanner Bibee (pronounced BYE-bee) was a 5th rounder in 2021 out of Cal State Fullerton who has come on like an August brushfire in the last 12 months. Before he arrived on the island he was an unspectacular, four-pitch-no-plus command goblin with a fastball that sat 92 and a bunch of fringe-to-average secondaries. After reappearing from the mist, Bibee now sits 95 touching 99 and dropping down to 91, working his spots and adding and subtracting like a guy without stuff… but now there's stuff, too. And that velocity bump leaked across the repertoire, helping turn his previously average slider into an unholy 3000-rpm monster, with huge two-plane break that he can manipulate the shape on and either zone or chase it resulting in a ton of called strikes, which forces hitters to then offer at one just outside the zone. It's a pitch that will make you audibly gasp.

Now the 24-year-old Bibee is a rotation lock. He has a wicked arsenal of five pitches, which includes a changeup that dips down to 73 mph, a 26-mph delta across the entire repertoire. And that aforementioned command now sits above-average with a herky-jerky-yet-repeatable delivery which gives already nasty stuff extra deception, making the whole batting experience not recommended. Fantasy players take note too. If you're a box-checker on long-term investments, few other prospect arms on the cusp check off as many as Bibee. In 13 innings this year at this level, Bibee has 13 K’s and 0 walks and he’ll now face a Tigers’ squad that are striking out 25.2% of the time versus RHP. This one looks yummy.



Our Pick

Cleveland -1½ +113 (Risking 2 units - To Win: 2.26)

Chicago +118 over L.A. Angels