San Diego vs San Francisco
San Diego -1½ +116 over San Francisco

Posted at 11:00 AM EST. Odds subject to change.

Pinnacle -1½ +116 BET365 -1½ +110 Sportsinteraction -1½ +112 888Sport -1½ +110

San Diego -1½ +116 San Francisco

8:05 PM EST. Just like yesterday, this game also comes to us from Mexico City, where the posted total yesterday was 15½. Well, the Padres scored in every inning but one en route to a 16-11 final. The Giants hung 11 and scored six times in the fourth inning but only scored in two other innings. The books made some adjustments today to the total in this extreme altitude, which sits at 20½ and once again, we’ll reiterate that the chances of a one-run ball game is very slim. Thus, it is a must that we choose a side on the run-line and play it.

The Giants are very appealing on the alternate run line at -1½ +160 but we’re going to go with the Padres again because San Francisco’s bullpen was torched yesterday while the Padres’ ‘pen is much fresher. Remember, the Padres pitching staff put up six innings of goose eggs while the Giants staff was scored on in every inning but one.

Both current rosters have seen plenty of the opposing pitcher but what sticks out is that Alex Cobb (RHP - SF) is coming off an extremely rare (by today’s standards), 9-inning, complete game shutout over the Cardinals. What’s even more interesting is that the last time Cobb (he’s 35-years old) pitched deep into a game was against the Royals this year on April 7th when he went seven full innings (also rare). Well, in his very next start after that seven inning performance, Cobb was raked to the tune of eight hits and two earned runs but left after just 3.2 innings with the bases loaded. This start now comes after he just threw a complete game. Twice already in five starts, Alex Cobb has failed to make it out of the fourth inning.

Y'all know Yu Darvish (RHP - SF) so there isn’t much left to say about him. He’s 36-years old now and he has a lot of mileage on his arm but he’s still good. Darvish ended 2021 with health questions but answered them emphatically by carrying his biggest workload last year since 2013. While his return on investment history paints a portrait of volatility, xERA across his last three full seasons (2019, 2021-22) are actually quite stable. He walks a bit too many 12 walks in 24 frames but he’s still striking guys out with filthy stuff (25 K’s).

The bet here is predicated on three things. Darvish over Cobb, Padres’ bullpen over Giants’ bullpen and the Padres’ sticks over the Giants’ sticks.


Our Pick

San Diego -1½ +116 (Risking 2 units - To Win: 2.32)

Chicago +118 over L.A. Angels