Chicago @ Miami
Chicago +115 over Miami

Posted at 10:30 AM EST. Odds subject to change.

Pinnacle +115 BET365 +105 Sportsinteraction +105 888Sport +105

Chicago +115 over Miami

4:05 PM EST. The Cubs acquired Caleb Kilian (RHP - CHC) from San Francisco in the Kris Bryant trade at the end of July 2021. They have long been fond of his ideal pitcher’s frame and solid four-pitch mix. Kilian now finds himself in the rotation with the Cubs and he’ll make his major league debut here. He has been outstanding as a pro since he was selected in the 8th round of the 2019 draft. He has been very effective by changing the look and speed of his four-seam and two-seam fastballs. Kilian can fire the ball into the 97-98 mph range on occasion, yet take a few ticks off and bury a two-seamer into the dirt. He also stands out for his above average control and command. He locates all of his pitches with precision and is consistently ahead in the count. With two breaking balls – hard slider and slower curveball – he also keeps hitters guessing. Kilian repeats his delivery effortlessly and generally keeps the ball in the ballpark. The scouting report is very solid. For his career, Kilian has a 2.08 ERA, 1.7 BB/9 and 9.8 K/9.

Aside from getting behind a pitcher with great upside that the market is unfamiliar with, we’re also very interested in fading Edward Cabrera (RHP - MIA) because he could easily underperform today. You see, Cubs’ hitters are raking it against RHP over the last two weeks, posting the third-lowest strikeout rate in MLB with Top-2 ranks in OPS, wOBA, and wRC+ (Weighted Runs Created). They also lead baseball with a .216 **ISO in the same span vs. RHP, so Cabrera’s inability to limit walks and the long ball in the early going - 8.1 BB/9 and 1.2 HR/9, respectively - will likely plague him once again.

**ISO measures the raw power of a hitter by taking only extra-base hits -- and the type of extra-base hit -- into account. For example, a player who goes 1-for-5 with a double has an ISO of . 200.


Our Pick

Chicago +115 (Risking 2 units - To Win: 2.30)

Chicago +118 over L.A. Angels