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-1½ +165 -1½ +160  -1½ +160

Posted at 2:45 PM EST and odds are subject to change.

San Diego -1½ +165 over St. Louis

9:40 PM EST. Miles Mikolas (STL - RHP) has not been in good form. Last time out against the Reds, Mikolas took the loss allowing five hits and three walks while striking out only three batters over six innings. Prior to that, he gave up four earned runs over five innings in a loss to the Pirates. Mikolas brings an xERA that’s higher than his surface number to this start as well as a weak swing & miss rate of 8.1%. Dude isn’t fooling anyone.

Meanwhile, Blake Snell (LHP - SD) looked like his former elite self in August, both on the surface (2.81 ERA, 1.19 WHIP) and beneath it: 34% K%, 5% BB%, 29% K-BB%, 2.55 xERA. His arsenal and approach both backed up his great stats and skills (15.0% swing and miss rate, 67% first-pitch strike rate, 34% Ball%). Snell should be priced much higher than he is today based on his skill set. That presents us with some tremendous value on a short-priced home favorite. Underlay.