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+100 -105   -102

Posted at 12:15 PM EST and odds are subject to change.

Pinnacle has the best price here with the Twins +102

Minnesota +102 over Cleveland

1:10 PM EST. Cal Quantrill will be making his third start of the season versus the Twins with the previous two resulting in very average outings. However, Quantrill has been cooking at home where he owns a perfect 7-0 record in 16 starts to go along with a 3.38 ERA and 1.09 WHIP. That’s nice it really is but that’s just one of those odd stats without merit. He’s the same pitcher at home as he is on the road but his home luck has been off the charts. No matter how you break it down, Quantrill has a 4.62 xERA. He has a weak BB/K split of 43/114 in 164 frames. The Twins have seen him and they have hit him. Bottom line is that Quantrill’s skills or lack thereof do not support his surface stats.

Sonny Gray (RHP - MIN) has looked like a dominant pitcher when healthy in the second half of 2022. His skills have been elite: 33% K%, 10% BB%, 23% K-BB%, 51% grounders, 2.86 xERA. His ability to miss bats (14.7% swing and miss rate) and keep the ball on the ground makes him one of the AL’s best starters. In 10 second half starts, Gray is 4-1 with a 1.81 ERA, 1.02 WHIP, and 59 K in 55 IP. His only flaw is that he walks a tad too many but make no mistake that his stuff is filthy and that he’s vastly superior to Cleveland’s very average starter.