Oakland @ Texas
Oakland +168 over Texas

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Posted at 10:45 AM EST and are subject to change.

Pinnacle has the best price here with Oakland +168.

Oakland +168 over Texas

2:05 PM EST. Right back on the A’s here after they belted out nine hits and scored seven runs as a significant underdog yesterday. While we like the Rangers as a live underdog, they cannot be favored in this range over an Oakland team that has been winning frequently since the All-Star break.

Who the f**k is Dane Dunning (RHP - TEX) to be favored in this range? He has a 4.12 ERA which is almost right in line with his 4.21 xERA, which suggests he’s about as average as it gets. Not that there's anything wrong with average, especially when said pitcher is taking back a price, in which this average starter is spotting a price like he’s Justin Verlander pitching for the Astronauts.

Dunning throws 89 MPH. His swing and miss rate is a very average 10.4%. He still owns a plus groundball rate but his velocity, K%, BB% look average at best. Stagnancy might be the word if not for 2019 Tommy John surgery. Has time to develop, but his upside looks limited and we’ll repeat that this is a big overlay.

The Athletics promoted Zach Logue (LHP - OAK) to the majors for the first time in his career back in mid-April. Acquired from the Blue Jays in March 2022, Logue has spent the majority of his career as a starter. He is a short, control-oriented pitcher who led the Blue Jays organization in strikeouts in his breakout season in 2021 between Double-A and Triple-A. He increased his strikeout rate by upping his velocity to the 90-95 mph range and adding a hard cutter/slider to his mix. All of his pitches are difficult to elevate and he keeps the ball in the yard. Logue has proven difficult for right-handed hitters to make hard contact against. He isn’t overpowering by any means, but he can command his fastball extremely well. He is savvy enough to adequately sequence his fastball, slider and improved changeup. He has been up and down this year but A’s management is also savvy enough to know when to demote and promote.

Logue has thrown 41 innings at this level this year. A solid outing against the Astros in early July is just one feather in his cap but it wasn’t enough to secure Logue a spot on the pitching staff. That was Oakland allowing him to thrive and savior a sweet start for some time before being asked to start again. Logue is certainly a risk but he’s a superior risk taking back this price than Texas is spotting this absurd price in a game Oakland can absolutely win.

Our Pick

Oakland +168 (Risking 2 units - To Win: 3.36)