Toronto @ N.Y. Yankees
Toronto +131 over N.Y. Yankees

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Posted at 10:45 AM EST and are subject to change.

Pinnacle has the best price here with Toronto +131.

Toronto +131 over N.Y. Yankees

7:05 PM EST. The Blue Jays head to New York after a big win last night over Baltimore to salvage a game in the three-game series. We say big win because the Blue Jays were taking a lot of heat in the media the past few days. The entire country was coming down hard on them and there is no chance that they were not feeling the heat. At the very least, the talented Blue Jays will go into Yankee Stadium feeling much better than they would have if they had lost again last night.

As for the Yanks, well, they, too, were in a big funk before pulling out a miracle win last night when they scored three runs in the bottom of the 10th to beat Tampa 8-7. The Yanks celebrated like it was the seventh game of a playoff series. The only thing missing was Liza Minneli singing New York, New York on top of the Yankees dugout during the celebration.

Speaking of taking some heat, Jose Berrios (RHP - TOR) is taking far, far more than he deserves because his surface stats are so poor. Dude has a 5.61 ERA after 23 starts. His poor contributions was magnified even more when the Blue Jays were in the midst of a big funk and Berrios was tagged for eight runs in four innings in his last start v Cleveland. That’s not a good look and it’s not easily forgettable for a fickle market, especially in Canada where the Jays are under immense scrutiny right now. However, we can easily ignore Berrios’ last start and also ignore his surface stats. You see, José Berríos started the season slow, but check out his monthly xERA trend: 5.11, 4.64, 3.81, 3.11. His stats rebounded in a big way during July (3.00 ERA, 1.17 WHIP in 36 IP). Few pitchers got strike one (69%) or threw more overall strikes (30% Ball%) than Berríos. His stuff and fastball velocity are both on an uptick, too.

Frankie Montas (RHP - NYY) is not enjoying the bright lights of New York. In just 16 innings covering four starts since arriving here, he has walked nine batters while posting an ERA/xERA split of 5.63/5.00. Prior to his arriving here, he was amazing, which was why the Yanks gave up quite a bit to get him. We’re certainly not counting Montas out but pitching in New York can have a negative effect on some. He’s not the first pitcher to flame out in New York after posting great skills elsewhere. Some pitchers/players cannot stand the pressure so we’ll see how this one plays out. Montas’ sample size in New York is much too small to establish anything just yet but at the very least, it’s there and the Blue Jays are a great underdog almost every time they are priced as such.

Our Pick

Toronto +131 (Risking 2 units - To Win: 2.62)