Milwaukee @ St. Louis
Milwaukee +125 over St. Louis

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smallbet365+120 small888 +115   +120

Posted at 11:30 AM EST and are subject to change.

Pinnacle has the best number here with the Brewers +125, so that is where we are going to play it. You can also get the Crew +220 at Bet365.

Milwaukee +125 over St. Louis

2:10 PM EST. Through 141 innings, Miles Mikolas (RHP - STL) boasts a shiny 3.50 ERA and 1.09 WHIP. Has he turned back the clock to his career year of 2018? Pinpoint control remains his best asset and it’s backed by xBB%. However, a subpar swing and miss rate of 8.6% along with his K% is his biggest weakness. Of his five-pitch arsenal, only two offerings have garnered a swing and miss rate better than 7% in 2022 (four-seam: 12%, 19% usage; slider: 11%, 29% usage). A fortuitous blend of hit%/strand% and HR/F luck has sparked a wide ERA/xERA gap. Over his last month (28 IP), Mikolas has a 4.49 xERA and we can assure you he is without question the second best starter in this game.

Say hello to MLB’s most misleading won/loss record for starting pitchers. 1n 15 starts, Aaron Ashby (LHP - MIL) is 2-10 with an average ERA of 4.32. It’s ridiculous how unlucky Ashby has been. Aaron Ashby’s combination of whiffs (103 K’s in 85 innings with a supported 14% swing and miss rate) and groundballs (55%) makes him a really unique pitcher with a high ceiling. He also does a good job of preventing hard and barreled contact. He’s 0-4 over his last four starts with an xERA of 2.46. Ashby is pitching as good as almost any pitcher in MLB but he has not been rewarded. That is going to change real soon so buy low before the window closes.



Our Pick

Milwaukee +125 (Risking 2 units - To Win: 2.50)

Baltimore -1½ +124 over L.A. Angels
San Francisco +100 over San Diego
Toronto +120 over Tampa Bay
Washington +135 over Cincinnati
San Diego under 83½ -105
Boston under 79½ -110