Washington @ Philadelphia
Washington +268 over Philadelphia

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Posted at 11:00 AM EST and are subject to change.

Pinnacle has the best price here with the Nationals +268. You can also play them at +255 at Bet365.

Washington +268 over Philadelphia

1:35 PM EST. Almost everything has gone well for Aaron Nola (RHP - PHI) except for bullpen and run support, which is reflected in his 7-8 record. He's pitched much better than that record suggests. He's headed toward his third straight elite season as seen in his xERA He was somewhat discounted in drafts this year because of his 4.63 ERA in 2021, but a look below the surface shows he was a victim of poor luck in hit % and strand %. His K% and BB% are outstanding, leading to his superb K-BB%. His miniscule BB% is contributing to his well-below 1.00 WHIP. He has posted 48% dominant starts with only one disaster in 21 starts. Dude is good but what if the Phillies don’t score or the bullpen doesn’t hold up? The price dictates the play, as Washington is not the easy prey the market believes they are. See that 11-5 loss by the Nats yesterday? The hits were tied at 13-13.

Cory Abbott (RHP - WAS) was once considered a good prospect in the Cubs organization and he pitched 17 innings in the majors in 2021. However, he struggled in the big leagues and upper minors and the Cubs eventually sent him to the Giants in April 2022. San Francisco later put him on waivers and was claimed by the Nationals in May. The former 2nd round pick in 2017 has some good skills. With a clean, repeatable delivery and durable arm, he relies on a deep repertoire and natural deception. Abbott has been able to register strikeouts. His fastball mostly sits between 91-95 mph and he mixes in a solid-average slider, curveball, cutter and change-up. Abbott can be effective when using his breaking balls to set up his fastball. His ceiling may not be that high, but the Nationals could leverage his durability and pitch mix to pitch as a He has a career 3.82 ERA, 3.6 BB/9 and 10.8 K/9 in the minors and has pitched nine frames in the majors this year with 9 K’s and a 1.00 ERA. Small sample size indeed and he may get smoked but the risk is worth the reward.



Our Pick

Washington +268 (Risking 2 units - To Win: 5.36)

No Run in First Inning -105