Seattle @ Houston
Seattle +125 over Houston

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Posted at 12:30 PM EST and are subject to change.

Seattle +125 over Houston

8:10 PM EST. Jose Urquidy (RHP - HOU) comes in with a respectable 3.93 ERA after 18 starts but his xERA is an unpleasant 4.65. We’ll focus on that, as Urquidy has only struck out 77 batters in 101 frames. That means the ball will be in play and that’s good news for a Seattle team that is seeing beach balls lately. Urquidy’s K% has dipped to 17% and he's giving up a lot of very loud contact. This is a starter that battled shoulder problems last season with May and July IL stints; ERA predictably rose as H%/S% came back to earth. His xERA, xWHIP hint luck factor correction isn't finished; injury We’ll take the under on a ratio repeat in the second half.

Logan Gilbert (RHP - SEA) just keeps getting better. He posted some of the best primary stats of any starter during July while confirming the upper-rotation pedigree he carried coming into the year. His swing & miss rate last game was 20%. He has an outstanding BB/K split iof 30/112 in 117 innings. His first-pitch strike rate is also elite. He’s attacking hitters, he’s good, he has very good stuff that is improving and he pitches for one of the hottest teams in the game.

Our Pick

Seattle +125 (Risking 2 units - To Win: 2.50)

Colorado +206 over St. Louis
Oakland +168 over Texas
Toronto +131 over N.Y. Yankees