Pittsburgh @ Chicago
Pittsburgh +160 over Chicago

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Posted at 11:45 AM EST and are subject to change.

Pittsburgh +160 over Chicago

2:20 PM EST. Bryse Wilson (RHP - PIT) is a warm body with weak skills. He comes in with an awful 6.52 ERA after nine starts and three relief appearances covering 50 innings. In those 50 frames, he has struck out 38 batters with 16 walks issued. Last year, Wilson went 3-7, 5.35 ERA in 74 IP for Atlanta/Pittsburgh. He bounced around between AAA and the majors prior to the trade deadline without much success in either place. Given a chance to stick in rotation after the trade to Pittsburgh, his subpar swing & miss rate and K% dipped further and then he had to deal with arm and hamstring issues. Still young, but there's a lot of work to do before the market sees him worthy of an investment and that’s why the Cubbies are so overpriced here.

Is Keegan Thompson (RHP - CHC) any better than Bryse Wilson? Not really. His numbers are better but his skills are not. Thompson has two quality starts in 12 tries this year. His ERA is 3.43 but his xERA is 4.69, which is almost identical to Wilson’s xERA. He’s also had a similar role, as Thompson has appeared in 20 games with 12 starts and eight relief appearances, Last year, Thompson initially worked out of the 'pen with some success, albeit with the help of a sky-high 1st half strand rate of 92%. He got a brief look in the rotation, but failed to impress with 7.11 ERA in five starts before a September shoulder injury ended his season. Marginal swing & miss rate, high BB% are signs that ERA will surely rise, and ceiling appears low in any role. Add it all up and it doesn’t equate to Keegan Thompson worthy of being priced like he’s Carlos Rodon. Jesus.

Our Pick

Pittsburgh +160 (Risking 2 units - To Win: 3.20)

Colorado +206 over St. Louis
Oakland +168 over Texas
Toronto +131 over N.Y. Yankees