Today's Free Picks for
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Posted at 12:30 PM EST and are subject to change.
Seattle -1½ +185 over Toronto
10:10 PM EST. One of the most unique rivalries in sports continues here, as Toronto will once again try and snap out of an ugly funk that has seen them lose six of seven with only victory over that span being a come-from-behind, 2-1 victory over the A’s. Unique rivalry because Canadian fans flock across the bridge to pack Safeco with Blue Jays’ fans and make it seem more like a home game than a road game. Nonetheless, the Mariners are on fire with 13 wins in their last 16 games including five in a row.
George Kirby (RHP - SEA) has thrown at least six innings while allowing three runs or less and striking out at least six in three of his last six starts. He was an amazing BB/K split of 58/8 over 60 frames. He's been generating a good number of groundballs, slightly above average, with a league-average fly ball rate, both of which track with his limited samples from the minors. He's had some gopher ball issues against right-handed batters, but his numbers there seem pretty flukey (2.8 HR/9, 22% HR/F), and should benefit from regression over the remainder of the season. Kirby's xERA supports his performance.
We faded Ross Stripling (RHP - TOR) last game out against Oakland and will continue that here. We noted that Stripling pitched fine through June of last year and then fell apart. July brought K% dip and HR/F surge, while August and Sept were ruined by an oblique injury. His last game v the light hitting A’s, Stripling had a 5.79 xERA, a 1.71 WHIP and a 6% swing and miss rate. We repeat, his health grade, and fringy xERA/xWHIP of late, says you might want to gamble elsewhere.
Seattle -1½ +185 (Risking 2 units - To Win: 3.70)