Today's Free Picks for
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Posted at 10:45 AM EST and are subject to change.
Detroit +220 over Chicago
8:10 PM EST. You can find this game at a few different prices, but the best we found was at Pinnacle at +220. Howevver, you can bet it at +210 at Bet 365.
We hope we’re not too late to this party but at this price the new look Tigers must be played. Suddenly the Tigers have won four straight and have looked very impressive in doing so. What changed?
Moving out of the rebuild phase hasn’t gone as well as the Detroit Tigers might have hoped. Instead of the under-the-radar playoff contender that many hoped for, they’re sitting at 30-47 almost halfway through the season, with their postseason aspirations all but gone.
A glimmer of hope has been seen of late in the form of Riley Greene. The young outfielder broke his foot immediately prior to the start of the season, a turn of events that was emblematic of the next few months for the team. Since Greene has made his debut, however, he has put up an .830 OPS, and while he hasn’t shown a ton of his power yet, he has impressively walked exactly as often as he has struck out.
Greene’s on-base ability has so impressed manager A.J. Hinch, that he moved Greene to the leadoff spot last Friday, and it sounds like that’s where he’s going to stay. A particularly impressive series of at-bats against lefties Carlos Rodón and Alex Wood seems to have convinced the Tigers manager that he wants Greene heading to the plate first in every game, for as long as he’s a Tiger. “I hope he hits in the leadoff spot for the next six-plus years or however long he can be here. I think it’s important that the better hitters get the most at-bats,” he said.
It’s no surprise that Hinch would express such a sentiment and frankly, given what he’s had to work with, he ought to be getting Greene to the plate as often as possible. It has not escaped the attention of any of the team’s beat writers that George Springer filled a similar role in Hinch’s Houston teams. Greene’s not notably fast, but he has turned in a strong display in the minors, stealing 25 bases in 27 attempts. This move should give him some extra opportunities to do that, given his on-base skills, as well as driving his runs scored potential even higher (he already has 12 in 17 games).
Every player is feeding off of Greene and everyone else. The Tigers have a swag in their step for the first time this year. Many players shared the sentiment of feeling great and just wanting to play ball because winning is fun.
This wager has nothing to do with the starters. It’s a bet on Detroit to beat the South Side because the price for that to happen is absurd. In case you need it:
Beau Briske (RHP - DET) isn't the same caliber of prospect as other young Detroit arms like Tarik Skubal, Casey Mize, or Matt Manning—he was a 27th-round pick in the 2019 draft. But he raised his profile in 2021, and appears to be making adjustments that might help him find modest success in the majors. His control seems to be fairly dependable, so the skills to watch are whether he can find a path to more strikeouts, and find a way to consistently lower his fly ball rate, as he's done over his last six starts.
Dylan Cease (RHP - CHW) is really good. He’s proof that rebooting a pitcher can take many forms: this skills transformation came without introduction of a new pitch; instead he changed his arm slot, which added some spin and made his entire existing arsenal more effective. Velocity was never a problem, now his swing and miss rate is commensurate. Has become a strikeout asset with much less ratio risk.
Detroit +220 (Risking 2 units - To Win: 4.40)