Today's Free Picks for
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Posted at 2:30 PM EST and are subject to change.
San Francisco +120 over Atlanta
7:20 PM EST. Perhaps Charlie Morton (RHP - ATL) has turned a corner after not looking like himself through his first 12 starts of the year, or perhaps he was just pitching against the toothless Cubs last time out. If there are those in the market that want to crown Morton’s ass after seven shutout innings against the Cubbies, then let them crown his ass. However, we are not as eager, as the Cubs would struggle to field a competitive Triple-A team with its current MLB roster. Before that outing in Chicago last Friday, Morton had given up 16 earned runs across 20.1 innings pitched, which spanned four starts. Subtract that 13th start against the Cubs from Morton’s season and a more accurate picture is painted with an ERA of over five and an xERA that is almost five. Neither point to Morton being deserving of the respect he’s getting from oddsmakers and the market tonight.
Carlos Rodon (LHP - SF) may be off the radar after his move to the left coast, but he’s arguably pitching better now than he was when hurling for the White Sox (which was pretty darn good by the way). Last time out Rodon struck out eight over eight scoreless innings while giving up just two hits and two walks. Rodon’s WHIP is a tidy 1.14 and he’s still fooling hitters at a high rate with an 11.22 K/9 strikeout rate and an elite 13.4% swing and miss rate. Rodon is ace material, but he’s not priced as such. As an aside, when facing lefties, the Braves are ranked 23rd in strikeouts. Swing batter, batter.
Did the Giants finally put a chink in the Braves' armor with that 12-10 thriller last night? Maybe, but even if they haven’t this is far too tempting a price to pass up with San Francisco as the betting underdog.
San Francisco +120 (Risking 2 units - To Win: 2.40)