Today's Free Picks for
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Posted at 1:30 PM EST and are subject to change.
Cleveland -1½ -105 over Colorado
8:40 PM EST. Shane Bieber (RHP - CLE) has looked like a rotation anchor against LH bats so far in 2022 (1.65 ERA, 0.91 WHIP in 27 IP vL) due to elite command (26% K-BB%) that has driven his 3.55 xERA. With 68 K’s in 65 innings and a supported 15% swing & miss rate, Bieber is legit good. Of course, Coors takes no prisoners but that applies to Colorado’s blowup artist too.
Give us a hot team going into Colorado for the first time in a long time and we’re happy to bite, especially against Antonio Senzatela (RHP - COL), a starter that amassed the worst ERA (6.71) and WHIP (1.75) of any MLB starting pitcher who logged at least 120 IP the last time MLB had a “normal season”. This year, Senzatela is up to his old tricks with an awful 20 K’s in 41 innings, supported by his weak 7% swing & miss rate. Now add in a 35%/36%/29% groundball/line-drive/fly-ball rate at this unforgiving park, throw in an alarming 1.85 WHIP and Senzatela is in line to get blasted. He’s truly the worst fit possible for Coors Field.
Cleveland -1½ -105 (Risking 2.10 units - To Win: 2.00)