Texas @ Chicago
Texas +130 over Chicago

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Posted at 10:15 AM EST and are subject to change.

Texas +130 over Chicago

2:10 PM EST. Jonathan Gray (RHP - TEX) entered 2022 with some post-hype appeal, but so far, the results haven't materialized (5.28 ERA, 1.30 WHIP in 46 IP). However, an unlucky A 35% hit rate and 60% strand rate have been the primary reasons for his weak surface stats. Underneath the hood, Gray’s skills have been well above-average: 25% K%, 9% BB%, 16% K-BB%, 3.96 xERA. Dude has 47 K’s in 46 innings with just 19 walks issued.

The best thing about fading the White Sox is that their manager is old, drunk and stupid. Tony La Russa couldn't wrap his old, drunk and stupid head around Trea Turner at the plate this past Tuesday night in a two-run ballgame. What happened next was that La Russa intentionally walked Trea Turner on a 1-2 count with one runner on second, bringing up Max Muncy. Muncy didn’t like that one bit and proceeded to crack a three-bomb that would prove to be the winning runs for the Dodgers. The entire South Side was perplexed, including the White Sox broadcast, who practically bit right through their tongues as La Russa made the call. That’s what happens when you spill beer on your tablet and you can’t look up what to do.

Then there’s Michael Kopech (RHP - CHW) who looks like a solid investment on the surface with his 1.94 ERA and 0.94 WHIP in 51 innings. It’s all fool’s gold my friends so now would be the time to sell. Kopech’s strong start on paper is all because of luck-driven numbers. He has an 18% hit-rate, 83% strand rate, and 3% hr/f. His skills have been bad (4.79 xERA), and he's not throwing many strikes (38% ball%). The combination of his high ball rate and high flyball tilt (29% grounders/53% fly-balls) gives him some significant blowup potential.

Our Pick

Texas +130 (Risking 2 units - To Win: 2.60)

Baltimore -1 +185 over Seattle
Boston -1 +220 over Toronto