Today's Free Picks for
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Posted at 11:30 AM EST and are subject to change.
Chicago -1½ +131 over Baltimore
7:05 PM EST. Marcus Stroman (RHP - CHI) and his Cubs teammates have little to do with this wager, but there are a few signs that Stroman is undervalued. Stroman’s xERA is lower than his surface number and he sports an extremely low and very unliucky strand rate of 57.7%.
Enter Jordan Lyles (RHP - BAL), who is the reason we’ve all gathered here today. When watching Lyles, we can honestly say, after decades of watching and wagering on baseball, we’ve never seen a dude get hit as hard, batter after batter, as Lyles does. Lyles was fortunate to not factor into the decision last time out after he was lit up for five runs on nine hits over five innings while striking out just three. That terrible stat line actually does Lyles justice, as the Mariners were teeing off on him and probably could have scored 10 runs if they had any luck at all. In his last two starts, Lyles has thrown duds. His first five starts, in which he posted a 3.31 ERA and a 0.77 WHIP are long forgotten now. One figures his downward spiral will continue tonight.
Chicago -1½ +130 (Risking 2 units - To Win: 2.60)