Today's Free Picks for
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Posted at 1:45 PM EST and are subject to change.
Philadelphia -101 over Milwaukee
8:10 PM EST. Baseball is a game of streaks and right now, the Phillies are winning. Not only are the Phils winning, but they are also scoring runs in bunches with totals of 9, 7, 10 and 6 across those four wins. If one wanted to look back a little further, the Phillies played a wild three game set with the Giants in which every game went into extra innings. To summarize, Philadelphia is playing some damn good ball.
Ranger Suárez (LHP - PHI) started one of those games against the Giants, but he did not factor into that decision. He did pitch well though considering the Giants are the sixth best team at hitting lefties in all of MLB. Suarez gave up two runs on five hits and struck out five over 4.1 innings. On the season, one could argue that Suárez has been unlucky. His Batting Average on Balls in Play (BABIP), is an unlucky .324 Suárez brings an elite groundball rate of 51% with him as well. Suárez should also benefit from facing a weaker lineup against lefties, as the Brewers have a .630 OPS (6th worst in MLB) against southpaws this year.
The Crew will send Jason Alexander (RHP - MIL) out for his second start of the season. In his first turn, Alexander pitched seven innings giving up three runs on seven hits while striking out three. Alexander is 29 and is just getting his first taste of the majors. Like his namesake from the classic Seinfeld show, we have to question where the hell this Jason Alexander has been and where did he come from? Dude wasn’t drafted, but we were able to dig up a little info on him. He’s a minor league NRI signee who was transferred several times as an amateur. Alexander also missed a year of action with Tommy John surgery and didn’t make his way to pro baseball until he was 24. After one start should Alexander be favored over the Phillies after he was a pooch against the Cubbies? Don’t overpay for one lousy start in which his swing and miss rate was 4% and he walked as many as he struck out.
Philadelphia -101 (Risking 2.02 units - To Win: 2.00)