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 -105   -105  Pinnacle +102

Posted at 3:30 PM EST and are subject to change.

N.Y. Mets +102 over San Diego

9:40 PM EST. New York is worth a wager for several reasons. First, the Metropolitans are 10-4 over their last 14 games with only losses occurring against the Giants x 2 and the Dodgers x 2. They’ve beaten everyone else and also took the last two games against the Dodgers in Los Angeles this past weekend. Meanwhile, the Padres are 5-6 over its last 11, which includes a 3-3 mark at home against Milwaukee and Pittsburgh. 

Blake Snell (LHP - SD) will be making just his fourth start of the season. He faces a tough test today as the opposing Mets have been bashing lately. Furthermore, Snell is walking too many batters (8 in 15 innings) with a supported 51% first-pitch strike rate. That’s not good. Falling behind the hot bats of the Mets is a problem. Snell also has a very alarming 29%/59% groundball/fly-ball split.  

In 10 starts, Carlos Carrasco (RHP - NYM) has posted a 3.63 3.73 ERA/xERA split. That’s beautiful. Carrasco's skills were some of the best among NL starters: 26% K%, 4% BB%, 21% K-BB%, 47% grounders. He’s missing bats (13.6%) and pounding the zone (33% ball%). His groundball rate last game was 77%. Carrasco and the Mets are just too live a dog here to pass up on.