Chicago @ Tampa Bay
Tampa Bay -1½ +110 over Chicago

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Posted at 1:00 PM EST and are subject to change.

Tampa Bay -1½ +110 over Chicago

7:10 PM EST. Shane McClanahan (RHP - TB) was a Top 100 prospect that was projected to be an elite reliever. However, his rookie season was stellar and now he is on the way to being an elite starter. Just another gem drafted by the Rays. That rookie season, by the way, saw McClanahan put up a 3.34 ERA and 3.31 xERA with 10 K/9 over 25 starts.

Last time out, McClanahan earned his fifth win. He struck out seven while allowing just one run against the Yankees on Sunday. In 10 starts, McClanahan’s ERA stands at 2.01 and it’s legit, as his xERA is a tidy 2.45. His swinging-strike rate is up from an elite 14.8% to an otherworldly 17% this season. Hitters are making less contact than last year (70.4% to 66%) and that contact is softer with an average exit velocity that dropped from 91.7 mph to 87.9 mph. McClanahan is the real deal. Only Corbin Burnes has a lower contact rate on the board today.

The White Sox sending Vince Velasquez figures to be a gift from the baseball gods. Velasquez has not been able to find his footing in his first full summer on the South Side. His inflated 5.30 ERA is only made worse by an xERA that is 6.25. Yikes. His groundball rate is low (34.3%) and his strikeouts are down over 2021. Velasquez has not started a game since May 19, where he was belted by the Royals to the tune of four earned runs on four hits over five innings. His last appearance was in a relief role on May 24, it went better (3 IP, no runs), but coming in relief after losing your starting job is a lot different than trying to get it back. The vultures are circling. Let’s eat. 



Our Pick

Tampa Bay -1½ +110 (Risking 2 units - To Win: 2.20)

Baltimore -1½ +124 over L.A. Angels
San Francisco +100 over San Diego
Toronto +120 over Tampa Bay
Washington +135 over Cincinnati
San Diego under 83½ -105
Boston under 79½ -110