WNBA Regular Season
Los Angeles +13 -103 over Minnesota

Pinnacle +13 -103 BET365 +13 -110 Sportsinteraction -13½ -113 888Sport +13½  -118

Posted at 11:15 AM EST. Odds subject to change.

WNBA Regular Season

Target Center - Minneapolis, Minnesota

Live on Ion

Wager: L.A. Sparks +13 (best odds: -103 at Pinnacle)

7:30 PM EST. The Minnesota Lynx are on an absolute tear right now. Coming off two huge victories against Western Conference elites (Seattle and Vegas), the good times are at an all-time high in the Midwestern state, and nothing about it looks hokey. Led by superstar-on-the-rise Napheesa Collier, Minnesota’s starting-five is proving to be as formidable a unit as any in the association, perhaps seen most clearly in their recent demolition of last year’s champions. On the road, the Lynx starting-five accrued 78 of their 100 points in a win against Vegas on Tuesday, overpowering the Aces in their typically aggressive manner and making a statement to the entire league in the process. And they have great defense to boot. Minnesota is just doing everything right. In their last four games, they lead the WNBA in assists, turnover ratio, total defense, true shooting and effective field goal percentages, and total offense. But that high-level of performance is very hard to maintai, and while Minnesota’s talent and potential is no fluke, we’re concerned that Friday might feel very underwhelming compared to their recent highs.

Enter the LA Sparks. LA is not a good team overall and it’s unlikely they’ll compete in the playoffs this season, but that doesn’t mean they’re not getting better. Two of their four wins have come this past week, one in an impressive display against the Aces, and most recently they played a very close game at Seattle before foundering in the fourth. Still, 6’3” DeArica Hamby and her team fight hard, and all their marks have improved in their last 3 contests. We also like that the Sparks are running the floor at the fastest tempo in the W, the complete opposite of the Minnesota Lynx, who rank 11th overall. Off two huge victories, at home still and no doubt in celebration mode the past week, LA has the perfect opportunity to catch the surging Lynx off-guard, and that’s probably why the spread is dropping. Minnesota most likely wins by 8-10 points, but the market is moving to inflation too quickly in a season that’s far too young. We’re taking a shot on the road pooch.

Farley



Our Pick

Los Angeles +13 -103 (Risking 2.06 units - To Win: 2.00)

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