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Posted at 3:45 PM EST. Odds subject to change.

Hamilton +10½ over Winnipeg

8:30 PM EST. "Sticking with it" is one of the hardest things to do in sports betting, but it is a strategy that we have employed for ages and one that we are always mindful of, especially in a week-to-week sport like football where over-and-under reactions to recent results have a great influence in the market.

Last week, we backed the Tiger-Cats in their home game versus the Elks, and we wrote that game off early, as the Tabbies trailed 32-3 at the half. With the final score of Edmonton 47, Hamilton 22, there isn’t much to be said, and we’re not going to sugarcoat the Tiger-Cats' performance. However, we’ll note that while it might be tempting to fade Hamilton here in Winnipeg after they looked so bad last week, that would be the wrong move. It’s what we call “zig-zagging,” and it’s one of the cardinal sins of sports wagering.

As for the Blue Bombers, their stock is up after a dominant win over the returning Nathan Rourke and his B.C. Lions last week in Vancouver. It was Winnipeg's second straight drubbing of the Lions after shutting out B.C. in Week 10, 25-0, and while we can appreciate that it might look like the Bombers are back after a sluggish 2-6 start to the season, we remember when they were dropping ugly games to Saskatchewan, Calgary, and Ottawa earlier in the year. Even if the Bombers are back to their championship form, they are spotting inflated points here at home. Win, lose, or draw, this game checks a lot of boxes. We’ll gladly scoop up the points, but we won’t be shocked if the Tabbies do the “unthinkable” and beat the mighty Bombers.

Sherwood

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Arizona     -150

Detroit      +125

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Arizona       -145

Detroit    +134

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