Calgary @ Montreal
Montreal -8 -104 over Calgary

Pinnacle -8 -104 BET365 -8 -110 Sportsinteraction -8 -110 888Sport -8 -110

Posted at 12:30 PM EST. Odds subject to change.

Montreal -8 over Calgary

7:00 PM EST. Anyone who has spent any time in this space with us over the years knows that rare is the time we step out of line and swing a big stick and spot such a significant pile of points, but there are exceptions and this game is one of them.

First up is Montreal, whose offense, led by QB Cody Fajardo, has been efficient, and his solid, but not exceptional performance (33-for-41, 284 yards, one TD) last week against the Argonauts underscores his reliability. Furthermore, The Alouettes' creative play-calling, highlighted by head coach Jason Maas’s bag of tricks, keeps opponents on their toes, as both Cole Spieker and Tyson Philpot lead the league in yards after the catch (YAC).

Meanwhile, Montreal’s defense has been formidable, too, allowing just 18.3 points per game, the best mark in the league. The Als also have the fewest yards allowed per game (332.0), while Calgary is second worst in yards allowed per game (372.7) despite allowing just 23 points per game, which suggests that they are playing with fire and it’s only a matter of time until that leaky flood gate opens. We cannot guarantee that it will be tonight, but if anyone is equipped to expose and make the Stamps pay for their porous play, it’s these Als.

As far as resumes go, Calgary's victory over Winnipeg in Week 4 looks good on paper (maybe), it came with a caveat—Winnipeg's QB Zach Collaros did not finish the game. Not only that, but the Stampeders' late fourth-quarter defensive lapse which pushed the game into overtime was a red flag. If not for a Winnipeg interception in the endzone in OT, the result of that could have been much different. Other than Winnipeg, the Stamps lost at B.C. by nine in Week 2 and knocked off the 0-4 Tiger-Cats in Week 2. Of Calgary’s two wins (Winnipeg/Hamilton) those teams are a combined 1-8.

As for the Als, they, too, beat Winnipeg by double digits (27-12), the Elks, as well as Ottawa (47-21) and Toronto (30-20) by double digits and they come into this game with a reputation for a team that has given up second-half points (14 to Toronto, 20 to Ottawa), but even with those lapses in defense, they still easily won and covered those games. If the Stamps can hang here, on the road, in a tough place to play, so be it, but we’re not going to let up and we’re calling the Als to win this one going away. To close, the efficient market, is pounding the Stamps, bringing this line down from the Als -9½ this morning to -8. That’s what we call the cherry on top.

Sherwood

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Our Pick

Montreal -8 -104 (Risking 2.08 units - To Win: 2.00)

Edmonton -3½ -105 over Ottawa