B.C. Lions @ Winnipeg
Winnipeg -1½ -105 over B.C. Lions

Pinnacle -1½ -109 BET365 -1½ -105 Sportsinteraction -1½ -105 888Sport -1½ -105

Posted at 2:30 PM EST. Odds subject to change.

B.C. over Winnipeg

8:30 EST PM. The Lions are 1-1, and they are fresh off a 26-17 win against the Stampeders after losing to the Argos in Week 1. Last week versus the Stamps, the Lions' defense was tested as that unit gave up 339 passing yards and 400 total yards of offense to Calgary, a week after they allowed 374 total yards versus Toronto. The Lions' defense was a major liability last season, and so far here in 2024, it looks to be more of the same. The Stamps only scored 17 points last week, but they could not make the Leos pay for their porous play. However, the Blue Bombers are not the Stamps.

Winnipeg entered the 2024 season as Grey Cup favorites but has begun the year with back-to-back upset losses, an uncharacteristic start for a team known for its disciplined play. Thus far, Winnipeg's current turnover margin is -5. It doesn’t matter what league you play in; if you turn the ball over, you are going to have a hard time winning games. That said, turnovers are a luck-based statistic, and those bounces usually even up over time, and even if they don’t, they cannot be counted on from game to game.

The Bombers are taking heat for their 0-2 start, but there is no reason to panic yet. Let’s not forget that starting QB Zach Collaros didn’t play any snaps in the preseason, so it’s not a shock that he’s off to a slow start. Like the Bombers, Collaros’ stock is low, but that makes him a prime “buy low” candidate. Through two games, Collaros is just 55% passing with three interceptions to no majors. That ratio of turnovers to touchdowns is not likely to continue, nor is his poor completion percentage, as he has averaged around 70% over the last two seasons.

To summarize, Winnipeg's slow start has them undervalued and underpriced, which presents us with a prime opportunity to jump in and back them as a short-priced favorite on their home field. Meanwhile, the Lions are coming in on six days' rest with a leaky defense that is primed to be exposed. The Bombers are well-positioned to secure their first win and, more importantly, cover of the season.


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Our Pick

Winnipeg -1½ -105 (Risking 2.10 units - To Win: 2.00)

Edmonton -3½ -105 over Ottawa