Today's Free Picks for
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Posted at 4:00 PM EST and odds are subject to change.
B.C. Lions -2½ over Saskatchewan
10:30 PM EST. The lion in the room is the absence of B.C. quarterback Nathan Rourke, who has lit this league on fire in 2022. We could gush over Rourke here, but he’s not going to play this week, so we’ll save it. The market perception is that the Lions are going to be screwed without their starting pivot, so much so that the Lions, who opened as 4½-point favorites, with the absence of Rourke considered by oddsmakers are now down to the price you see now.
We’re going to continue to fade the godawful Roughriders until they cannot be faded anymore. Saskatchewan has played B.C. twice this season and was shelled for a combined 60-27 score in those two games, both were played at home in Regina by the way. Last Friday’s 28-10 loss was embarrassing to be sure, as the Roughies were never, ever in that game.
The Roughriders are a bad football team, not worthy of our bankroll. Sasky has dropped four of its last five games, including the two straight to B.C. discussed above. Only one of those defeats was by less than double digits and that game was way back on July 16 when the Roughriders played the Argos in Nova Scotia. In their last four, the Roughies have been outgained by 322, 207, 104, and 187 years against the Argos, Lions, Elks, and Lions again, respectively.
The question here is “are the Lions more than just their quarterback?” The oddsmakers seemed to think so, as they were not afraid to make B.C. a relatively significant favorite considering the circumstances. The injury chasers disagreed. As for us, the Lions could start Leo the Lion as a quarterback and we’d still be all over them. Perhaps most importantly is that when a key player/leader goes down, the response from the rest of the players on the Lions is to step it up big time in support of their QB and becszuse they now want to prove it's a team effort. A definite underlay this is.
B.C. Lions -2½ -105 (Risking 2.1 units - To Win: 2.00)