Saskatchewan @ Montreal
Montreal +120 over Saskatchewan

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Posted at 2:00 PM EST and are subject to change.

Montreal +120 over Saskatchewan

7:30 PM EST. We are eight games into this CFL season and so far there has not been one money line underdog winner. Against the point-spread, the pooches are 3-5. These Alouettes are responsible for two of those covers and by all rights, they could easily be 2-0 in the standings instead of 0-2 had a bounce or two gone their way.

Montreal has arguably played the toughest schedule through the first two weeks, if only because they played out West in Calgary in Week 1, before coming back East to play the Argonauts in Toronto last Thursday night. The Alouettes would have their chances to win both of those games, but fell short in overtime versus the Stampeders and saw their fourth-quarter comeback with Trevor Harris at the helm come up just short in a 20-19 loss to the Argos last Thursday to kick off Week 2. With all that said, we trust that the Als will be highly motivated to get off the schneid in their home opener against the Roughriders.

Saskatchewan is 2-0 after racking up wins over Hamilton and Edmonton. If all you knew of the Roughriders was their record and their spot near the top of the power rankings, this line might look like low-hanging fruit. However, while the Riders’ defense is getting all the headlines for a ferocious attack that has racked up 13 sacks in two games, we just cannot get excited about that defense feasting on a patchwork Tiger-Cats offensive line in Week 1 or the mess that is the Elks in Week 2. More on that game in a minute. While we are on the subject of patchwork offensive lines, Saskatchewan will be without their O-Line leader, as center Dan Clark will be out for the foreseeable future after breaking his leg in Edmonton last Saturday night. Clark is the anchor, the rock, and the captain of that unit. One cannot predict how they or quarterback Cody Fajardo will perform without Clark in the lineup.

Let’s recap the Riders’ 26-16 win in Edmonton on Saturday night. While Saskatchewan would cover the closing line of 7½ points, it would not be the clobbering that many had predicted it would inflict on the Elks. Rather, the Riders were down 13-12 after three quarters and even trailed 16-15 late in the fourth quarter. If one had spotted more than a touchdown with Saskatchewan, one would likely have sold that ticket for pennies on the dollar with five minutes to go.

On the surface, the Roughriders are 2-0 both in the standings and against the spread, covering their two games with ease. The market loves a winner, especially what looks like an easy winner, but we all know there is no such thing as a free lunch in this business. Prior to its game against the Elks, we wrote that Sasky didn’t pass the eye test against the Tiger-Cats and should have won that game by 30 and not 17 based on the state of Hamilton’s offensive line and the five turnovers its offense committed. In case you forgot or didn’t see that Week 1 game, the Riders were up just 15-13 with seven minutes to play. That is now two straight games Saskatchewan has played down to its competition and needed some late-game heroics to put the dagger into their opposition. When you play with fire like that, you get burned. Eventually. Als outright is the call.

Our Pick

Montreal +120 (Risking 2 units - To Win: 2.40)