Today's Free Picks for
Posted at 1:30 PM EST.
10:35 PM EST. OT included. Vegas is rolling again. Actually, they’ve been rolling all year. Remarkably, when the Knights went on a recent 4-4 run over an eight-game stretch, social media was screaming regression. What happened next was that the Knights won four of their next five games, capped off by Tuesday’s 7-3 blowout win over the Flames. In fact, Vegas has won by three goals or more in each of its last four victories. Hockey is a funny game because the best game the Knights played over that span was against the Ducks and that was the only games they lost. See that 7-3 win over Calgary? Vegas lost the 5v5 Score and Venue Adjusted Corsi For & Against by a wide 54-36 margin. In its 6-3 win over the Canadiens, they lost by a wide margin too. While we acknowledge that the Knights are a quality squad, they are not THIS good. In fact, the prices on the Knights are getting out of hand and it might be time to start fading them more often. This looks like a good spot to do just that, as Vegas will play the final game of a seven-game home stand here with two full days off afterward until they play in Los Angeles on Sunday.
When healthy, the Canucks can defeat any team in this league, especially those that take them lightly. While the Canucks under the hood numbers aren’t great, what they lack in production and talent, they make up for in grit and determination. When betting on the Canucks, one usually gets their money’s worth. Only eight out of 31 teams have recorded double-digit wins this year against top-10 competition and the Canucks are one of them. The Lightning, Bruins, Kings and Flames are among the 75% of the rest of the teams that have not recorded 10 wins or more against top-10 teams in the same number of chances. The Canucks are not an easy out to be sure and now that they’re getting healthier (C Sam Gagner likely returns here), they are becoming more difficult. With recent 6-1 and 6-0 victories over Boston and Dallas respectively and the proven ability to play hard and compete against the elite, the price here on this live pup is too good to pass up on.
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Vancouver +214 (Risking 2 units - To Win: 4.28)