Today's Free Picks for
Posted at 1:00 PM EST.
10:05 PM EST. OT included. Colorado has lost two straight while getting outscored 10-3. That’s ugly and it puts the Avs on the path that the market expected them to be on when the season began. Colorado has issues but we trust them to pick it up again and start playing well again because they’re a well-coached group that brings it almost every night. Nathan MacKinnon returned last game without issue and will now play his second game back. Tyson Barrie, Mikko Rantanen and J.T. Compher, who all missed time recently are also back, which gives the Avs their healthiest and best lineup in weeks. Certainly, the Avs are capable of picking it back up here. With their stock low, we’re buyers.
The Canucks stock has hit a season high after they beat Boston 6-1 on Saturday night, which came just six days after they beat Dallas, 6-0. That’s 12-1 combined over Dallas and Boston in two of their past four games. Again, it’s results that influence the market and this one is no different. Vancouver was outclassed by a Boston marathon last time out but they scored six times on 23 shots while allowing just one goal on 45 shots. The score should’ve been 6-1 for the Bruins. While the Canucks’ victory over Dallas was truly legit, they’ve still been badly outplayed in almost every single game since the calendar turned to 2018. The Canucks are a worthy underdog from time to time but the risk on them is too great when they’re favored because their chances of losing are greater than winning.
Just to give you an idea of how prevalent results over performance truly are, here is what one media source that covers the Canucks wrote about Saturday’s win over Boston:
“The Vancouver Canucks may be at the bottom of the NHL standings, but they sure know how to play like a legitimate champion from time to time. For those of you who missed it, this rebuilding squad completely dominated the red-hot Boston Bruins on Saturday night, crushing them with a 6-1 victory”.
Seriously!!!??? Crushed? Dominated? Played like Legit champions? Boston won the Corsi For battle, 60-26. We looked hard to try and find a more one-sided Corsi For count this season but could not. The article went on to say this, “Head coach Travis Green has found some crafty ways to expose the flaws of Cup contenders, so the visiting Colorado Avalanche will want to be careful when it comes to underestimating their opponents”.
This is just lunacy reporting on a game. The Canucks were thoroughly and convincingly dominated by Boston but this Yo-Yo writes the opposite. Of course the Canucks can win here but don’t be influenced by final scores. We also like that the Canucks will play in Vegas on Friday night so they’ll have two full days off after this one and they’ll be in Sin City. That makes this one sandwiched between games against two of the cup favs, Boston and Vegas. Such a good spot for the pooch here to get back on track and we’re on it.
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Colorado +105 (Risking 2 units - To Win: 2.10)