BEST LINES: Pinnacle -½ +136 Bet365 -½ +130SportsInteraction -½ +120 5DIMES -½ +131

Posted at 12:40 PM EST.

9:05 PM EST. Regulation only. The Blue Notes are the West’s top team with a 13-5-1 record, thus making them one of the NHL’s most overvalued teams. While the Blues are a legit playoff team, they are not THIS good. That presents us with an opportunity here, as the market once again puts too much weight on results and not performances. St. Louis is 3-3 over its last six games with victories over Arizona (in OT), New Jersey and Toronto. Against the Maple Leafs, St. Louis won 6-4 in a very even game that saw Fredrik Andersen surrender six goals on 32 shots. The Blue Notes rank 12th in Corsi For, 8th in Corsi against and 22nd in xGF/60. The Blues are good but they’re not close to being as dominating as their record suggests. 

The Oilers are the opposite. Edmonton’s 7-9-2 record is the result of nothing but good old fashioned bad fortune. The Oilers dominate time of possession almost every game but a weak (correctable) 73% penalty kill has cost them more than one game. Edmonton’s penalty killing percentage is unsustainably too low. The Oilers shooting percentage is second worst in the NHL at 5.36, so that, too, is in line for a major correction to the good. The media is always discussing what is wrong with Edmonton. The local media is putting heat on them too but just like the market drives the numbers, the media drives the market into thinking the Oilers are a struggling franchise. Wrong. The Oilers are playing outstanding without the results. At BET365 today, the Oilers are 25-1 to win the Cup which is the same price that they have the Canucks. Right after you bet on Edmonton today, make a bet on the Oilers to win the Cup too because the prices on both are wrong. Win or lose, Edmonton in this price range in its own barn is a steal and must be bet. 

Open an account today at Pinnacle Sports and take advantage of their -104 style pricing on sides and totals, which is 60% better than other sportsbooks.