Dallas @ CAROLINA
CAROLINA -½ +132 over Dallas

BEST LINES: Pinnacle -½  +132 Bet365 -½ +130 SportsInteraction -½ +140 5DIMES -½ +130

Posted at 12:30 PM EST.

7:05 PM EST. Regulation only. Dallas has won four of its past six games to run its record to 9-7 but let’s have a close look at that. The four victories over that span occurred against Calgary, Vancouver, Buffalo and the Islanders, not exactly the cream of the crop. Furthermore, the Stars scored five goals on 22 shots on net against Buffalo and five goals on 29 shots on goal against the Isles. That’s an unsustainable/ridiculous 10 goals on 51 shots on net. In its other two wins over that same span, Dallas scored twice on Calgary and won, 2-1 and also scored twice on Vancouver in another 2-1 victory. They Stars were out-chanced and outshot against both Calgary and Vancouver. Playing the 30th (out of 31 teams) ranked strength of schedule, Dallas is 0-2 against top-10 teams and 0-5 against top-16 teams. Indeed their defense is stronger this year than it was a year ago and their goaltending has been better too but Carolina is precisely the type of team that can contain Dallas’ top-heavy lineup.

Regular readers of this section are surely aware of us having the Hurricanes grossly undervalued the past couple of years. Carolina’s stock was up a bit prior to the start of season but after a slow start and being dead last in the Eastern Conference’s Metropolitan Division as of today, its stock is lower than it should be once again. That makes us instant buyers, as Carolina’s under the hood numbers say this is a top-5 and maybe even a top-3 team. The ‘Canes rarely get outplayed, outshot, outworked or out-chanced. Their Corsi +/- ranking is first in the NHL. Their overall Corsi For numbers rank first also. The ‘Canes have taken fewer penalties than any team in the NHL but their downfall this season has been a very unlucky 6.83 shooting percentage. In a recent game against Colorado, Carolina outshot the Avs, 60-27 and lost 5-3. That’s one example but one could go through Carolina’s entire season so far and in just about every loss, they dominated play. The Hurricanes are a beast possession team and it is therefore reasonable to expect a bunch of forthcoming wins and we’ll gladly put that to the test here.    

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Our Pick

CAROLINA -½ +132 (Risking 2 units - To Win: 2.64)

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Chicago +167 over Ottawa