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Posted at 11:45 AM EST.

7:00 PM EST. We trust we had the right side last night when the Bruins went into Toronto and lost 3-2 in OT but Boston had a 2-1 lead with a minute remaining in the third before they broke our hearts. We are always mindful of not zig-zagging in situations like this but when it comes to betting on sports, nothing's carved in stone so we’ll make an exception here. You see, the market has this all wrong. Last night it was Frederik Andersen against Anton Khudobin making it a #1 goalie for Toronto versus a #2 for Boston but that’s only by virtue of what each goaltender is being paid. Tonight it appears as though Boston has the edge in goal with Tuukka Rask against Curtis McElhinney but we’re suggesting otherwise. Tuukka Rask is the second best goaltender on the Bruins while Curtis McElhinney might be the best goaltender on the Leafs. The market, however doesn’t see it that way so we get an inflated price on the Leafs for that reason combined with the fact that Austin Matthews is still out. We’re not going to go into a lot of detail here regarding these two teams. Toronto is the vastly superior team and it’s worth mentioning that Mitch Marner is slowly but surely coming around again and while nobody can compensate for Matthews, Marner shifting into gear and becoming the threat he was last year makes a big difference. At the end of the day, Boston on its best day cannot be favored in this range against the Maple Leafs with or without Matthews.

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