Boston @ TORONTO
Boston +118 over TORONTO

BEST LINES: Pinnacle +118 Bet365 +115 SportsInteraction +120 5DIMES +115

Posted at 2:45 PM EST.

7:05 PM EST. OT included. Anyone that bet on the Wild to beat Toronto on Wednesday night suffered through what hockey bettors frustratingly suffer through almost on a nightly basis. That would be betting on the right team but ending up on the losing side of a great value bet. Minnesota held the Maple Leafs to 19 shots on net while firing away 37 and lost 4-2. The Wild dominated the Leafs for long stretches throughout but ran into a hot Frederik Andersen. The Maple Leafs have scored eight goals on 44 shots over their past two games and was even outshot by the Golden Knights the game prior. Toronto has the third worst xGA average in the NHL ahead of only the Rangers and Arizona. Toronto’s defense is a mess right now and they are very simply not going to continue to bury four or five pucks a game to mask that deficiency. Furthermore, Andersen may have been hot last game but he’s hit and miss like a lot of goalies. His .896 save percentage is one of the worst among quality goaltenders. He’s allowed more soft goals than most and cannot be trusted. Andersen and the Leafs have allowed five goals or more in seven of 17 games this season.

This might not be a good matchup for the Leafs, as Boston ranks 1st in the NHL in Corsi against. The Bruins have dropped four of their last six but have only been outshot once over that span. The Bruins are going to start reeling off some victories because they have the right formula working to do so. They stay out of the box (two minor penalties or less in three straight and in four of six) and they’re starting to have a possession edge in every game too. It has taken a bit of time for the B’s to gel but it’s slowly coming together. Lastly, the general consensus is that the Tuukka Rask is worth more in goal than tonight’s confirmed starter, Anton Khudobin but nothing could be further from the truth. In five games, Khudobin has a save percentage of .936. That ranks 4th in the league while Rask’s save % ranks 35th at .898. Expected save % favors Khudobin by an almost equally wide margin. Khudobin has a 3-0-1 record and is another #1 goaltender that is getting #2 playing time and it’s another edge among others that we can try and take advantage of here.

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Our Pick

Boston +118 (Risking 2 units - To Win: 2.36)

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Chicago +167 over Ottawa