Washington @ NEW ORLEANS
Washington +9½ -104 over NEW ORLEANS

BEST LINES: Pinnacle +9½ -104 Bet365 +9½ -110 SportsInteraction +9½ -110  5DIMES +9½ -110

Posted Friday at 1:30 PM EST & updated Sunday at 11:00 AM EST. 

1:05 PM EST. The Washington Redskins seemingly can’t handle prosperity. Every time they’ve looked like they’ve had a shot at showing signs of life, they drop an egg and take two backward steps. Back in October, they were 3-2 and had divisional games coming up with Philadelphia and Dallas with a chance to start writing their own ticket for 2017. Instead, they lost both games, dropped to 3-4 with a 0-3 record within the division and put their playoff hopes on life support. After going into Seattle and getting an upset win last week, they had got back to .500 and had the opportunity to make some noise against Minnesota. They made noise all right, just all the wrong noise. Washington had a 17-14 lead late in the second quarter, but, in an eight-minute span, the Redskins offense was on the field for two plays and their 17-14 lead turned into a 35-17 deficit. In the final two minutes of the first and second halves, Washington has allowed 78 points. However, the ‘Skins have played the second toughest schedule in the league. They are as battle tested as any team in the game and they have the talent to hang around and upset anyone. The Redskins already have won big games on the road, at the Rams, at Seattle and also have a close loss at Kansas City but this choice is more about fading the stock of the Saints, which hasn’t been this high since their Super Bowl run back in 2010.

New Orleans was 6-2 before last week’s road game in Buffalo against a Bills’ team that has struggled to stop the run and they were playing outdoors in conditions more suited to running than passing. But even the most generous prognosticators could not have anticipated New Orleans reeling off 298 rushing yards and six rushing touchdowns in one of the most dominant performances in NFL history. At one point, New Orleans ran on 24 consecutive offensive plays, which is unheard of in this day and age. They were toying with the Bills and eventually won 47-10 to run their winning streak to seven games. So, just to recap –New Orleans has won seven in a row and is coming off a resounding 47-10 win in Buffalo. They have outscored its last four opponents by a sick combined score of 123-49.

We have no idea what is going to happen in this game and neither does anyone else. What we know for sure is that there isn’t a brighter star in the NHL universe than the Saints’ star right now. Every pregame show, every talk radio show and every publication opened up their week by talking about the Saints and we all know what that means. It means that their ship has sailed and it’s not the right time to get on board. The oddsmakers aren’t idiots. They know precisely how anxious this market is to get behind the Saints. 90% of teasers bet this week will have the Saints on their ticket. So, once again, we’re staying out of the prediction business and staying in the value business. To bet on the Saints this week, you will be paying extra to do so and it’s simply the wrong time. The Saints also have a huge game with the Rams on deck next week so you may see them play with a little too much complacency here after so many easy wins in a row and the media telling them how good they are.

Note: We're going to wait on this one until Sunday, as we anticipate a better number. We'll update this on Sunday as to whether it's a play or pass. 

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Our Pick

Washington +9½ -104 (Risking 2.08 units - To Win: 2.00)