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_{Posted Friday at 2:45 PM EST}

1:00 PM EST. The Redskins went into Seattle last Sunday and escaped with a 17-14 win despite getting outgained by 193 yards. Washington is getting some good press after a big road win but a closer look shows this team is as average as its 4-4 record would indicate. The Redskins have been outgained in four of their last five games with the only exception being a 26-24 home win over still winless San Francisco as a -12 point favorite in Week 5. The numbers under the hood support the ‘Skins road to mediocrity. This team is 16th in total DVOA (a relevant metric that measures defense adjusted value over average) with the special teams pulling up the rear where the Redskins rank 25th on that often overlooked aspect of the game.

On Monday Night Football, Jon Gruden stated a matter a factly that with Aaron Rodgers and Sam Bradford out, Matt Stafford was the NFC North's best quarterback. “Chuckie” obviously hasn’t spent much time in the film room watching Case Keenum, who is by far a better option than Bradford and has grossly outperformed the league’s top paid player this season. Keenum leads the number nine DVOA offense and he’s the number six DVOA QB right now behind Deshaun Watson, who was making major headlines until he went down for the season. Keenum is ahead of guys like Dak Prescott and Carson Wentz, the latter of which is getting MVP chatter from all the talking heads. The Vikings are one of five teams that rank in the top half of the league on both sides of the ball with the defense coming in 11th in total DVOA. Minnesota's special teams also rank in the top half of DVOA (14) making them one of the most well-balanced teams in the league.

Last season the Vikes were undefeated (5-0) and atop the NFC North before taking their league-mandated break and it totally jacked up their momentum, as Minny dropped four straight and missed the playoffs. That collapse has not been lost on this team or it's beat reporters who covered that breakdown extensively during the bye. While that failure has no bearing on this season’s squad, it likely made for some decent bulletin board material. On the surface, the ‘Skins big win in Seattle looks like it could turn their season around and that sentiment is holding weight in the market. While Minny has posted four straight wins, they’ve come over the Browns, Ravens, Packers (minus Aaron Rodgers) and the Bears, not exactly a murderer’s row. It might look like the ‘Skins are being disrespected as oddmakers have made them a small home pooch but it is actually the Vikings who are being sold short here. Coming off an impressive (on-paper) win in Seattle, the Redskins are once again in line to disappoint. 

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