Today's Free Picks for
Posted at 1:00 PM EST
8:30 PM EST. The Redskins are coming off a great, prime time 27-10 win over the Raiders last Sunday night. Kirk Cousins took home NFC player of the week honors after throwing for 365 yards and three touchdowns and showed some swagger with a near-perfect passer rating of 150.7. Cousins' performance was even more impressive when you consider he was without his number one target in tight end Jordan Reed and lead runner, “Fat” Rob Kelly. Washington is now 2-1 with its Week 2 victory at the Rams looking even more impressive after L.A. went into Big D and got a W over the Redskins' NFC East rivals. Against Oakland, the Redskins grounded the high-flying Raiders offense and limited them to just 128 yards and the market has taken notice. The timing to jump on the Redskins is off by a week. They were jacked up for a home game in prime time and now they’ll go from the comfortable confines of FedEx Field to the frothing fans at Arrowhead Stadium, who have been waiting three years to host Monday Night Football. A rude awakening for Cousins and company is waiting.
Again, this is the first MNF game the Chiefs have hosted since 2014, so you know Arrowhead will be rocking. Kansas City has quietly gone about their business the last two weeks with wins over the Chargers and Eagles and it is now 3-0 after everyone saw them blast the Patriots to open the season. Kansas City has established themselves as a powerhouse in the early part of this season. The Chiefs are the only remaining undefeated team after a Sunday full of upsets and they have been executing at a new perfect level through three weeks. Quarterback Alex Smith, a former number one pick, has seemingly shed his “game manager” moniker with 774 yards and seven touchdowns in three games. Smith is surrounded with weapons like rookie runner Kareem Hunt and speedster Tyreek Hill, not to mention Travis Kelce, who just might be the best pass-catching tight end in the NFL. Hunt and Hill are both home run hitters, as the rookie runner has three touchdowns of 50 yards or more while Hill has a 30-yard TD grab and 75-yard major on his resume this season. The Chiefs lead the league in rushing and are third in total offense.
With back to back wins over the Rams and Raiders, we can understand how Washington may have some appeal taking back a touchdown tonight, but we must be mindful of not overreacting to the results of these high-profile prime time games. The Redskins feasted on a weak Oakland defense last Sunday, but a different animal awaits them here. Heading into Week 4, the Chiefs defense led the league in sacks (11), were second in forced fumbles (5) and third in interceptions (4) while giving up an average of 19 points per game, good for seventh overall in the league. It's never wise to step in front of a freight train and with the Chiefs barreling down the tracks with their next stop at home in prime time, we lean their way big time. Washington’s Kirk Cousins’ has some skewed numbers so don’t buy into his coming of age hype, as he ranks 24th in the NFL in QB passer rating. The Redskins embarrassed the Raiders in prime time last week and now K.C. is about to return the favor.
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KANSAS CITY -7 +106 (Risking 2 units - To Win: 2.12)