Today's Free Picks for
Posted Friday at 1:15 PM EST
8:30 PM EST. Without Andrew Luck, the Colts were supposed to be the laughing stock of the NFL but instead, they nearly beat the Cardinals two weeks ago and indeed beat Cleveland last week while scoring 31 points in the process. The Colts have covered two weeks in a row but more importantly, if you bet against them, you ripped up your tickets in back to back weeks. Furthermore, two big dogs last week (Houston and Cincinnati) covered easily and nearly won outright while the rest of the underdog’s slayed the board. That has the market fearful of spotting big points again, especially with Seattle, a team that barely beat the 49ers while scoring 12 points and scoring just nine points in Week 1 against Green Bay. Now one has to lay 13 points with a team that has scored under that in two of their three games? Get in the mind of the market and you’ll stay ahead of the curve. In this case, on a Sunday night bailout game, the points look appetizing but we couldn’t disagree more. The Colts are a dumpster fire with the worst roster in football. What this market has forgotten is their 46-9 loss on the road against the Rams in Week 1, which also happened to be on the West Coast. They’ll now travel again to play a steamed up Seattle squad.
The conventional wisdom is that the Seattle Seahawks are the prohibitive favorites to win the NFC West but few are looking at them as legitimate Super Bowl contenders that can string together three wins in the postseason, largely due to a dismal offensive line. But, on a day when Russell Wilson threw four touchdowns, its defense got taken downtown in Nashville. In eight drives from the start of the second quarter to the start of the fourth quarter, Tennessee scored seven times – four field goals and three touchdowns. The Seattle Seahawks are now 1-2 this season with its only win being a 12-point victory over the 49ers. The Seahawks don’t have the swagger we’ve been used to seeing in the Great Northwest. If you’ve watched Seattle in any of its three games this year, spotting nearly two converted TD’s with them is unappealing at best. Lost in it all of that is Seattle did enough offensively to win beat Tennessee by scoring 27 points on the road. Lost in all of that is Seattle held Green Bay to 17 points at Lambeau and also held the 49ers to nine points. Additionally, Pete Carroll never shows mercy against anyone and enjoys running up the score more than any coach we’ve ever seen. Up 41-3 late in the fourth quarter, Carroll will kick a FG with 30 seconds remaining.Indianapolis is everything it appeared to be in a disastrous opener. The Colts are the weakest team in the NFL and will never see the postseason under the current staff. It's hard to imagine how an offense this void of talent is going to generate points this week against a Seahawks defensive front that should dominate the line of scrimmage. We'll say Seahawks triggerman Russell Wilson has a big day and the Seattle defense outscores the Indy offense. Colts once again get exposed in a big way so be very confident in spotting the points. We are.
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SEATTLE -13 -103 (Risking 2.06 units - To Win: 2.00)