Oakland @ KANSAS CITY
Oakland +3½ -108 over KANSAS CITY
BEST LINES: Pinnacle +3½ -108 Bet365 +3½ -110 SportsInteraction +3½ -110 5DIMES +3½ -110 

Posted at 1:00 PM EST. 

8:25 PM EST. Andy Reid has had a pretty spectacular couple of weeks. His Chiefs beat Denver 30-27 on Sunday Night Football in Week 12 and they went on the road to defeat the Falcons last Sunday. Reid has coached his ass off. He called a ballsy fake punt in Atlanta that scored a touchdown and for once he didn't look like the biggest idiot on the sidelines but we're still not buying it. The Chiefs were very fortunate (again) when Denver gave them amazing field position in overtime after the Broncos missed a questionable 60-yard field goal attempt. Last week, K.C. got lucky (again) when defensive back Eric Berry snatched the game away on a two-point conversion attempt that would have given the Falcons a one or three point lead. Instead, it was a pick-2 for the Chiefs and they won 29-28. When taking a closer look at the Chiefs, they could very easily be 0-5 in their last five games instead of 4-1. Every game was decided by a score or less. Chiefs quarterback Alex Smith is a game manager at best and their offense is ranked just 23rd in the league. The Chiefs sit at 9-3 and are a game back of Oakland. Kansas City also destroyed the Raiders 26-10  in Oakland earlier this season.

The Raiders find a way to win every week. They are 6-0 since that embarrassing home loss to K.C. and capped that run with a 38-24 win over Buffalo on Sunday. Oakland is also undefeated on the road this season. Quarterback Derek Carr has 24 touchdowns to just five interceptions this season. The Raiders offense is ranked third in the league and their defense has been much more imposing lately, lead by defensive end Khalil Mack who has a sack in seven straight games.  

This game opened with the Chiefs a -3 point home favorite suggesting these teams are even on a neutral field but that doesn't add up. The Chiefs seem to have every advantage coming into this one. No travel on a short week, the weather is expected to be around 20 degrees Fahrenheit and K.C. is getting receiver Jeremy Maclin back from injury. Furthermore, the media has jumped on the Chiefs bandwagon, which is usually the kiss of death. The Chiefs are getting big time national attention this week while being called the most “complete” team in the AFC. They are being praised over and over for having won 20 of their last 23 regular season games but their luck may finally run out here. We get the vastly superior QB with points but more than that, their arrival as a legit team opens the door for a Raiders squad, which is the better team in this bitter rivalry for the first time in years to take down this enemy and prove that they have arrived. We trust Oakland to do exactly that. 

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Our Pick

Oakland +3½ -108 (Risking 2.16 units - To Win: 2.00)