Penn State @ OHIO STATE
#206 OHIO STATE -7 -103 over Penn State

BEST LINES: Pinnacle -7 -103 Bet365 -7 -110 SportsInteraction -7 -110 5DIMES -7 -110

Posted at 10:00 AM EST

3:30 PM EST. Normally we stay out of high-profile contests such as this because the oddsmakers are very aware of the heavy action that will pour in and therefore the lines are that that much sharper or tighter. However, when the price on one side looks too appealing, red flags are raised. Penn State enters this battle of Big Ten heavyweights as the #2 ranked team in the country. The implication is that only the juggernaut Alabama Crimson Tide are better. The Nittany Lions also enjoy the services of the current favorite to win the Heisman Trophy, Saquon Barkley at their disposal. This is a football team that is expected to be an across-the-board favorite to repeat as Big Ten Champion and qualify for the College Football Playoff. Just last week, PSU was involved in another high profile game versus Michigan and anyone that bet against the Nittany Lions realized very early that they had made a big mistake. As a 7½-point choice (game opened at 9½ and was bet down late), PSU destroyed the Wolverines and now one can get behind this #2 ranked team taking back a converted TD?! Imagine for a second if you can, the Crimson Tide taking back six or seven points! Ohio State’s market appeal took a massive hit earlier this year when a then #2-ranked Ohio State hosted a #5-ranked Oklahoma in a pivotal match-up of similar feel and fanfare. OSU was a similar 7½-point favorite over the Sooners and got smoked by a score of 31-16. Surely, the market doesn’t want to make that mistake again and get behind the Buckeyes spotting significant points against what is perceived as a better team than OU.

Let us now recap what we know. Penn State was a big favorite over Michigan last week and anyone that bet against PSU was burned badly. In Week 2, OSU was a big favorite over OU and didn’t come close to covering. They lost outright in fact. Those that bet against PSU last week are not going to make that same mistake and those that swallowed the points in Week 2 with Ohio State are not going to make that same mistake again either. That’s when we step in. The oddsmakers aren’t idiots. They 100% know what this line was going to do. In fact, it even goes deeper than that. Heavy action has been pouring in on the dog all week, yet the line has moved from -6½ to -7, thus enticing even more money on the dog. The oddsmakers have taken a big position here in a high stakes, high profile game and when they do that, we want to be on their side. There is no breaking down the X’s and O’s here. This is being aware and recognizing a position that the line is trying to entice us into taking. Win or lose, we’re confident we’re making the right choice and we urge all PSU backers to proceed with extreme caution.

Open an account today at Pinnacle Sports and take advantage of their -104 style pricing on sides and totals, which is 60% better than other sportsbooks.



Our Pick

#206 OHIO STATE -7 -103 (Risking 2.06 units - To Win: 2.00)